Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1218.524740 1382.820067 1564.903584 1782.328800 2035.748188 2322.813314 2674.049052
2025-09-28 928.901822 1136.227989 1387.084249 1715.593885 2138.317106 2669.220196 3394.755378
2025-10-05 819.410834 1054.732672 1357.178488 1779.812490 2363.794939 3155.208066 4331.335773
2025-10-12 731.083899 979.428070 1314.213226 1807.105233 2529.021365 3571.417768 5235.239498
2025-10-19 659.303304 913.270797 1269.663205 1818.256353 2663.300580 3953.460188 6148.898803
2025-10-26 601.354205 857.588980 1230.036557 1826.425869 2787.632180 4331.589118 7119.479092
2025-11-02 564.441303 827.160935 1221.885081 1878.128168 2982.895067 4847.554147 8418.514258
2025-11-09 529.622692 795.346855 1206.695248 1914.400899 3154.638096 5347.048854 9786.691835
2025-11-16 497.148706 763.344079 1186.813174 1938.715823 3306.591063 5832.267291 11227.073511
2025-11-23 468.335149 734.038125 1167.578128 1960.471284 3454.880238 6331.691993 12803.462950
2025-11-30 445.577332 712.272680 1158.187969 1997.473111 3635.136494 6920.680525 14707.200818
2025-12-07 410.046845 665.757119 1101.658712 1941.119580 3625.482340 7120.094684 15765.089468
2025-12-14 377.224921 621.841362 1046.807833 1883.906602 3610.710195 7315.879240 16888.989549
2025-12-21 345.910116 578.184604 988.774659 1814.567996 3562.414053 7432.633210 17852.406621
2025-12-28 336.638085 572.905571 1000.100363 1883.058371 3816.462759 8281.090602 20988.953896
2026-01-04 322.968967 558.401046 992.652217 1912.209057 3987.935916 8966.784568 23881.117981
2026-01-11 308.376840 540.958004 977.888875 1924.119291 4121.557433 9584.423409 26767.113649
2026-01-18 294.641460 524.025819 962.541513 1932.845549 4248.777941 10210.502484 29887.707931
2026-01-25 286.906374 517.958644 968.153229 1988.081070 4497.315299 11212.978576 34620.798054
2026-02-01 277.959653 508.797568 966.591984 2026.842566 4710.694912 12164.359323 39547.166902
2026-02-08 268.379816 497.638431 959.874729 2052.830326 4895.197648 13073.337957 44689.718535
2026-02-15 259.188548 486.576342 952.384112 2076.085577 5076.292993 14014.009825 50368.488629
2026-02-22 251.958002 478.990320 951.670883 2115.644784 5308.976540 15173.239378 57512.107022